| Gustav now a Cat 4 hurricane - |
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Eliza
 Posted:
Thu Aug 28, 2008 8:20 pm |
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Gustav now a Cat 4 hurricane
Last edited by Eliza on Sat Aug 30, 2008 8:38 pm; edited 3 times in total
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Joined: 21 Feb 2008
Posts: 1317
Location: Deep in the hills with my Bible, rifle, and pony.
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| enfant terrible
Posted:
Thu Aug 28, 2008 8:23 pm |
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| Quote: | | good thing "Kyle" is safe and sound at home now with his "Natalee" named baby |
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***Deactivated: Pending Review***
Joined: 04 Jun 2008
Posts: 834
Location: Naughty Stool, Alabama
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| Eliza
Posted:
Thu Aug 28, 2008 8:30 pm |
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| enfant terrible wrote: | | Quote: | | good thing "Kyle" is safe and sound at home now with his "Natalee" named baby |
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If the left one don't get ya, the right one will! 
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Joined: 21 Feb 2008
Posts: 1317
Location: Deep in the hills with my Bible, rifle, and pony.
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| Eliza
Posted:
Fri Aug 29, 2008 1:51 am |
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That "cone" is getting smaller and smaller
From the NHC:
THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS INCREASED OVER THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IN BEST AGREEMENT
WITH THE GFDL. HOWEVER...IT WOULD BE NO SURPRISE IF RAPID
INTENSIFICATION OCCURRED AND GUSTAV BECAME A CATEGORY 4 OR 5
HURRICANE BY 72 HR.
Last edited by Eliza on Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:56 am; edited 1 time in total
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Joined: 21 Feb 2008
Posts: 1317
Location: Deep in the hills with my Bible, rifle, and pony.
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| Eliza
Posted:
Fri Aug 29, 2008 3:34 pm |
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Gustav is now a hurricane!
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Joined: 21 Feb 2008
Posts: 1317
Location: Deep in the hills with my Bible, rifle, and pony.
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| Eliza
Posted:
Fri Aug 29, 2008 5:30 pm |
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000
WTNT42 KNHC 292100
TCDAT2
HURRICANE GUSTAV DISCUSSION NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
500 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2008
VISIBLE IMAGERY HAS OCCASIONALLY REVEALED AN EYE TRYING TO
FORM...BUT THAT FEATURE HAS NOT BEEN PERSISTENT.
NEVERTHELESS...THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO INCREASE IN
ORGANIZATION...WITH SOLID CONVECTIVE BANDS AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW
THAT IS WELL-DEVELOPED IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE UNDERLYING WATERS OF
THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ARE QUITE WARM...AND TO SOME DEPTH
BENEATH THE SURFACE...SO THERE ARE NO APPARENT IMPEDIMENTS TO
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING BEFORE GUSTAV REACHES WESTERN CUBA. EVEN
RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE...AS SUPPORTED BY THE LATEST
SHIPS-BASED RAPID INTENSIFICATION INDEX THAT SHOWS A 35 PERCENT
CHANCE OF AN INTENSITY INCREASE OF 30 KT OR MORE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...SO IT IS POSSIBLE THAT GUSTAV COULD REACH MAJOR HURRICANE
STATUS PRIOR TO CROSSING WESTERN CUBA. PASSAGE OVER CUBA WILL NOT
LIKELY HAVE MUCH IMPACT ON THE STORM'S STRENGTH...AND ALL GUIDANCE
FORECASTS A STRENGTHENING TREND OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF...WITH
SLIGHT WEAKENING POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHERN GULF. THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST AGAIN CALLS FOR A MAJOR HURRICANE OVER THE GULF...AND
DESPITE THE WEAKENING IMPLIED BY THE LESSER INTENSITY OVER LAND AT
96 HOURS...GUSTAV COULD MAKE FINAL LANDFALL ALONG SOME PORTION OF
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AS A MAJOR HURRICANE.
GUSTAV HAS TURNED MORE TO THE RIGHT AND SPED UP A LITTLE...NOW
MOVING AT ABOUT 305/10...AS IT HEADS FOR A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE PORTION OF THAT RIDGE
THAT IS INTACT OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS OF THE UNITED STATES IS
FORECAST BY ALL MODELS TO EVOLVE INTO A DEEP-LAYER HIGH THAT WILL
REACH THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. IN A FEW DAYS. THERE ARE IMPORTANT
DIFFERENCES AMONG THE MODELS...HOWEVER...IN HOW MUCH RIDGING WILL
EXTEND SOUTHWESTWARD FROM THAT HIGH TOWARD TEXAS...AND IN HOW STRONG
THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL BE OVER
THE WESTERN GULF IN A FEW DAYS. THESE VARYING SOLUTIONS LEAD TO
DIFFERENT TRACKS FOR GUSTAV OVER THE NORTHERN GULF. MODELS WITH
THE RIDGE EXTENSION AND A STRONGER UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WEST OF
GUSTAV...SUCH AS THE NOGAPS AND UKMET...FORECAST GUSTAV TO TURN
WESTWARD TOWARD TEXAS. OTHERS INCLUDING THE GFS...GFDL...AND
HWRF...DO NOT SHOW THE RIDGE EXTENSION NOR A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH...AND FORECAST GUSTAV TO BE PULLED INTO THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST FARTHER EAST. THE NEW OFFICIAL FORECAST LEANS TOWARD THE
LATTER SOLUTIONS AND IS EAST OF THE CONSENSUS...AND REPRESENTS NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. DUE TO THE NOTABLE
MODEL SPREAD LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...IT IS ONCE AGAIN
IMPORTANT TO RESTATE THAT IT IS SIMPLY NOT YET POSSIBLE TO
DETERMINE EXACTLY WHERE AND WHEN GUSTAV WILL MAKE FINAL LANDFALL.
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Joined: 21 Feb 2008
Posts: 1317
Location: Deep in the hills with my Bible, rifle, and pony.
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| Eliza
Posted:
Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:54 am |
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Cat 2
000
WTNT62 KNHC 300609
TCUAT2
HURRICANE GUSTAV TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
210 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT
GUSTAV CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AND NOW HAS MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 100
MPH...155 KM/HR WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES GUSTAV A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA
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Joined: 21 Feb 2008
Posts: 1317
Location: Deep in the hills with my Bible, rifle, and pony.
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| prolific
Posted:
Sat Aug 30, 2008 1:00 pm |
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New Orleans evacuations begin as Gustav menaces
Published - Aug 30 2008 01:38PM EDT | AP
Forecasters say Gustav has strengthened to a Category 4 storm and has maximum sustained winds of near 145 mph.
The National Hurricane Center on Saturday called Gustav an "extremely dangerous" storm. The increase in the storm's intensity comes as people line up for buses to take them out of New Orleans. Traffic is also heavier on main highways out of the city as residents head north.
New Orleans has yet to call for a mandatory evacuation, but began ushering out the sick, elderly and those without their own transportation.
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Joined: 24 Mar 2006
Posts: 9110
Location: Living happily in my "clueless" little world.
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| Phantom
Posted:
Sat Aug 30, 2008 2:56 pm |
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| prolific wrote: | New Orleans evacuations begin as Gustav menaces
Published - Aug 30 2008 01:38PM EDT | AP
Forecasters say Gustav has strengthened to a Category 4 storm and has maximum sustained winds of near 145 mph.
The National Hurricane Center on Saturday called Gustav an "extremely dangerous" storm. The increase in the storm's intensity comes as people line up for buses to take them out of New Orleans. Traffic is also heavier on main highways out of the city as residents head north.
New Orleans has yet to call for a mandatory evacuation, but began ushering out the sick, elderly and those without their own transportation. |
It's now a Cat 5
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Joined: 05 Jun 2006
Posts: 3332
Location: My only friend, the end
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| SavannahStar
Posted:
Sat Aug 30, 2008 8:29 pm |
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Mayor orders all of N.O. evacuated. Calling this the "Mother of All Storms"...on CNN.com now.
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**SuperStar**
Joined: 24 Mar 2006
Posts: 20840
Location: Midnight in the Garden of Good and Evil
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| SavannahStar
Posted:
Sat Aug 30, 2008 8:30 pm |
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You need to be scared," Nagin said. "You need to be concerned, and you need to get your butts moving out of New Orleans right now."
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**SuperStar**
Joined: 24 Mar 2006
Posts: 20840
Location: Midnight in the Garden of Good and Evil
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| Eliza
Posted:
Sat Aug 30, 2008 8:46 pm |
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| SavannahStar wrote: | | You need to be scared," Nagin said. "You need to be concerned, and you need to get your butts moving out of New Orleans right now." |
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Joined: 21 Feb 2008
Posts: 1317
Location: Deep in the hills with my Bible, rifle, and pony.
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| prolific
Posted:
Sat Aug 30, 2008 9:15 pm |
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| SavannahStar wrote: | Mayor orders all of N.O. evacuated. Calling this the "Mother of All Storms"...on CNN.com now.
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Oh Lord, help these people.
I hope everyone is taking this warning seriously and that they're able to evacuate those who aren't able to get out. I know they had buses evacuating, I just hope they reach everyone. .
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Joined: 24 Mar 2006
Posts: 9110
Location: Living happily in my "clueless" little world.
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| Ber
Posted:
Sun Aug 31, 2008 6:19 am |
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They have all been given ample time to evacuate. I hope lessons were learned from Katrina.
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Joined: 06 Apr 2006
Posts: 1652
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| prolific
Posted:
Sun Aug 31, 2008 8:18 am |
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HURRICANE GUSTAV VIDEOS
Sunday August 31, 2008
Time is running out for New Orleans residents to flee the approach of deadly Hurricane Gustav, which is tipped to gain power before slamming into the US coast.
Mayor Ray Nagin has ordered the compulsory evacuation of the city to begin at 8am local time (2pm BST) as the "storm of the century" churns around in the Gulf of Mexico.
It is almost three years to the day since Hurricane Katrina swept through the birthplace of jazz, killing hundreds and exposing deep poverty and lack of preparation.
Fox correspondent Marianne Silber said billions of dollars of repair work has been left undone and authorities are worried about the damage Gustav could do.
"The forecasters are saying this is going to be worse than anything they have ever seen and they absolutely do not want people taking chances," she said.
Highways around New Orleans are jammed and hundreds of people having been lining up to board buses as authorities urge residents to get out before the storm gets any closer.
Sky News weather presenter Lucy Verasamy said: "This hurricane won't just affect New Orleans - but that city still hasn't recovered from Katrina and the levees will never be able to take Gustav's storm surge of over 20ft. No way."
After passing over Cuba, Gustav lost some power and dropped to Category 3 - but the fierce storm is now back over the warm Gulf waters where it will pick up strength again, possibly reaching a catastrophic Category 5.
With such a wide base, Gustav is expected to affect areas up to 70 miles from the eye, spawining tornadoes in Florida, lashing many areas with rain and causing landslides.
No deaths have been reported from Cuba, where buildings were damaged and banana plantations ripped up. On the Isle of Youth 40 miles off the coast, news reports said boats had been washed into the city of Nueva Gerona.
Some 81 people have already lost their lives in Hurricane Gustav, which triggered floods and landslides in other Caribbean nations.
Energy companies have shut down three-quarters of oil production in the Gulf and are prepared for the strongest storm in three years to hit an area that produces a quarter of US crude and 15% of its natural gas.
Crude oil prices could soar if Tropical Storm Hanna, now in the Atlantic, follows Gustav into the offshore production areas, energy analysts say.
Forecasters are warning that Gustav is likely to approach the Louisiana coast just west of New Orleans as a Category 4 storm on the five-step Saffir-Simpson scale of hurricane intensity. It is likely to make landfall by late tomorrow or early Tuesday.
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Joined: 24 Mar 2006
Posts: 9110
Location: Living happily in my "clueless" little world.
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| sandraK
Posted:
Sun Aug 31, 2008 8:23 am |
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Aug. 31 (Bloomberg) -- Hurricane Gustav threatens to hurt U.S. oil and natural-gas production and refining more severely than hurricanes Katrina and Rita did three years ago.
Gustav, downgraded to a Category 3 storm by the National Hurricane Center in Miami this morning, may strengthen to Category 4 later today and will make landfall as a ``major'' hurricane. The storm shut three-quarters of oil output in the region and refineries operated by Valero Energy Corp., the largest U.S. refiner, ConocoPhillips, Marathon Oil Corp. and Exxon Mobil Corp. There will be a special trading session today at the New York Mercantile Exchange.
``This storm will prove to be a worst-case scenario for the production region,'' Jim Rouiller, senior energy meteorologist for Planalytics.com, said yesterday in an e-mailed message. ``This storm will be more dangerous than Katrina.''
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Boat Drink Room Hostess
Joined: 24 Mar 2006
Posts: 6436
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| Eliza
Posted:
Sun Aug 31, 2008 7:59 pm |
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Tornados breaking out!
Mobile Radar
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Joined: 21 Feb 2008
Posts: 1317
Location: Deep in the hills with my Bible, rifle, and pony.
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| gwen
Posted:
Mon Sep 01, 2008 10:24 am |
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Hurricane Gustav came ashore as a Category 2 hurricane near Cocodrie, La.
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AKA Gagal_05
Joined: 24 Feb 2007
Posts: 14448
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| Mallory
Posted:
Mon Sep 01, 2008 11:11 am |
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Local news coverage from NO with videos. Some waves lapping over Industrual Canal wall, etc. Several barges have broken from their moorings and are loose in waterways.
Flashflood watch will go through Tuesday evening.
See local coverage here:
http://tinyurl.com/8hbtp
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Joined: 23 Apr 2008
Posts: 1793
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| Mallory
Posted:
Mon Sep 01, 2008 6:04 pm |
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Governor Jindal conducting press conference now:
http://tinyurl.com/8hbtp
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Joined: 23 Apr 2008
Posts: 1793
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