| Gustav! CAT 5 potential??? - Goto page 1, 2 Next |
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Eliza
 Posted:
Tue Aug 26, 2008 7:01 pm |
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Gustav! CAT 5 potential???
CAT 5?  They have a week to evacuate!
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Joined: 21 Feb 2008
Posts: 1397
Location: Deep in the hills with my Bible, rifle, and pony.
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| Slickster
Posted:
Tue Aug 26, 2008 7:24 pm |
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Roll Tide!
Literally.
My thoughts are with you.
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Joined: 29 Jun 2006
Posts: 1631
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| Eliza
Posted:
Tue Aug 26, 2008 11:29 pm |
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Joined: 21 Feb 2008
Posts: 1397
Location: Deep in the hills with my Bible, rifle, and pony.
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| Eliza
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 12:12 am |
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LINK
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Joined: 21 Feb 2008
Posts: 1397
Location: Deep in the hills with my Bible, rifle, and pony.
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| luvslalom
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 1:49 am |
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Not again?!!! Same hits as last year, not?
Godspeed to evacuate. Stay safe. 
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Joined: 25 Apr 2007
Posts: 3173
Location: hamster...damn
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| Eliza
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 1:55 am |
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Two more disturbances behind Gustav both with a medium chance of becoming cyclonic!
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Joined: 21 Feb 2008
Posts: 1397
Location: Deep in the hills with my Bible, rifle, and pony.
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| luvslalom
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 2:05 am |
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| Eliza wrote: | | Two more disturbances behind Gustav both with a medium chance of becoming cyclonic! |
Are people evacuating? I have been away from the telly for a few days so I have no idea what is happening. We have some friends down there right now looking for property to buy. I guess nothing can be as dissuasive as these kinds of storms.
Stay safe.
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Joined: 25 Apr 2007
Posts: 3173
Location: hamster...damn
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| Eliza
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 2:32 am |
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GUSTAV IS ON THE EAST SIDE OF A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE...
WHICH IS INDUCING SOME LIGHT NORTHERLY SHEAR ON THE CYCLONE.
HOWEVER...THE FLOW IS ALSO STRONGLY DIFLUENT...WHICH SHOULD AID THE
RE-INTENSIFICATION PROCESS ONCE GUSTAV CLEARS THE WESTERN PORTION
OF HAITI. BOTH THE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW AND OCEANIC CONDITIONS OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN BETWEEN 36 AND 72 HOURS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION TO OCCUR...AND THIS IS
REFLECTED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST BY BRINGING GUSTAV TO JUST BELOW
CATEGORY 4 STRENGTH BY 72 HOURS. AFTER THAT...POSSIBLE EYEWALL
REPLACEMENT CYCLES AND SOUTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR MAY CREATE
INTENSITY FLUCTUATIONS IN THE LATTER FORECAST PERIODS.
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Joined: 21 Feb 2008
Posts: 1397
Location: Deep in the hills with my Bible, rifle, and pony.
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| Eliza
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 2:39 am |
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Jindal outlines tentative plan for Gustav evacuation
by Robert Scott, The Times-Picayune
Tuesday August 26, 2008, 11:27 PM
BATON ROUGE -- Gov. Bobby Jindal laid out the state's emergency preparedness plan this evening for the potential arrival of Hurricane Gustav, which he said could make landfall in Louisiana sometime early Tuesday.
The state's catastrophic action team has been activated and the governor plans to hold a meeting Wednesday of his unified command group, who are key officials with state agencies that would be dealing with the emergency.
If the storm continues to threaten the state, Jindal would declare a state emergency and request a federally declared emergency on Thursday. Those declarations trigger regulatory and financing programs to help the government deal with a disaster.
The governor emphasized that all the plans are tentative based on the direction of the storm and that the steps for evacuation may not be necessary.
If the storm continues to head toward Louisiana, the governor on Thursday would exercise state contracts for up to 700 buses to assist with evacuations.
Assisted evacuations could begin as early as Friday and evacuations from hospitals and medical care facilities would begin Saturday. Evacuations by rail also could begin Saturday.
Contra-flow, in which all lanes of major highways would direct traffic away from the storm impact area, could begin Saturday or very early Sunday, Jindal said.
"These are the timetables as we see them now," Jindal said. "We all hope this will be a false alarm."
The state has identified locations for 10,000 critical care beds for evacuees and 68,000 regular beds for evacuation.
The Louisiana National Guard has been put on alert and could be called up, Jindal said. The number of Guardsmen and the place of deployment will be determined as the direction of the storm becomes clearer, Jindal said.
"Be ready, now's the time to review your plans," Jindal said. "This is a serious storm."
State officials are about to enter a tiered system of emergency alert, Jindal said. The tiers include levels 1, 2 and 3, with level 1 being the most serious. The higher the alert, the more staff goes to work and the more preparations are made for evacuations. The state is expected to enter a Level 3 on Wednesday followed by Level 2 on Thursday, depending on the storm's activity.
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Joined: 21 Feb 2008
Posts: 1397
Location: Deep in the hills with my Bible, rifle, and pony.
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| luvslalom
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 2:51 am |
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| Quote: | | If the storm continues to head toward Louisiana, the governor on Thursday would exercise state contracts for up to 700 buses to assist with evacuations. |
 This means that ALL pets once again will not be included for travel out of the area.
Sorry, not trying to minimize human suffering, but as far as I'm concerned pets are as human as humans. Sad state of affairs for all.
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Joined: 25 Apr 2007
Posts: 3173
Location: hamster...damn
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| Eliza
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 3:33 am |
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Sad to think about the pets. They have plenty of time to prepare.
It is my opinion, if New Orleans takes a second catastropic hit in three years, they should buy everyone out and turn it into a national park.
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Joined: 21 Feb 2008
Posts: 1397
Location: Deep in the hills with my Bible, rifle, and pony.
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| Need2Know
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 7:07 am |
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| Eliza wrote: | Sad to think about the pets. They have plenty of time to prepare.
It is my opinion, if New Orleans takes a second catastropic hit in three years, they should buy everyone out and turn it into a national park. |
I don't think New Orleans will survive another Cat 5 direct hit. Lord help these people.
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N2K
Joined: 06 Jul 2006
Posts: 9292
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| GEL
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 7:58 am |
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Amen to that N2K.
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Joined: 17 May 2006
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| Mallory
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 8:40 am |
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The only actual evacuation plans so far that I have heard are for the oil rigs. They will likely be shut down and evacuated even if storm takes slightly different direction or does not intensify. Not that unusual for the rigs to be evacuated.
Jindal is an excellent governor and I think very wise to not wait until the last minute. Agree NO can't take another Level 5. Surely it won't get to that.
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Joined: 23 Apr 2008
Posts: 1793
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| Mallory
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 8:46 am |
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| Slickster wrote: | Roll Tide!
Literally.
My thoughts are with you. |
Looks west of AL, Slick. But NO is below sea level and would be better if it does make landfall elsewhere. Mobile hasn't taken direct hit in more than fifty years. I do fear for low levels and hope much was learned from Katrina that has been put into effect.
If we do have to Roll Tide, I always offer to take any horses that can be brought this far north to keep safe.
Electricity finally stopped blinking from TS Fay and now this already, bummer.
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Joined: 23 Apr 2008
Posts: 1793
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| court~critic1®
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 9:06 am |
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| Mallory wrote: | The only actual evacuation plans so far that I have heard are for the oil rigs. They will likely be shut down and evacuated even if storm takes slightly different direction or does not intensify. Not that unusual for the rigs to be evacuated.
Jindal is an excellent governor and I think very wise to not wait until the last minute. Agree NO can't take another Level 5. Surely it won't get to that. |
It is very unusual for a rig to shut down. To much money lost for the company. They ride most of them out. My SIL has been on an oil rig for over 15 yrs. He has been evacuated only 3 times. He can tell you about the wind and rain in those storms. Not pretty.
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The One and Only~Accept No Substitutions
Joined: 24 Mar 2006
Posts: 243
Location: 3rd. rock from the sun
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| Need2Know
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 9:07 am |
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ALL of NO needs to get out of there. I hope the Feds are ready to go on this one, to include the military.
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N2K
Joined: 06 Jul 2006
Posts: 9292
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| Mallory
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 9:20 am |
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| court~critic1® wrote: |
It is very unusual for a rig to shut down. To much money lost for the company. They ride most of them out. My SIL has been on an oil rig for over 15 yrs. He has been evacuated only 3 times. He can tell you about the wind and rain in those storms. Not pretty. |
Oh, wow! That's the last place I'd want to be! Only basing my comment on what was being reported yesterday. The price of oil already jumped based on expectation of evacuation of the rigs. Guess any excuse to increase price is good, however, not blame speculation.
This looks like a Cat 3 expected with likely landfall on LA/TX border. Of course, all is subject to change in an instant.
http://weather.myfoxtampabay.com/maps/WTVT/custom/storms/gustav_track.html
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Joined: 23 Apr 2008
Posts: 1793
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| Need2Know
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 9:27 am |
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National Hurricane Center
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/083515.shtml?5day#contents
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N2K
Joined: 06 Jul 2006
Posts: 9292
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| Phantom
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 9:32 am |
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Maybe Nagin will use those buses this time that just sat in the yard during Katrina.
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Joined: 05 Jun 2006
Posts: 3332
Location: My only friend, the end
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| Fishy
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 10:15 am |
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| Mallory wrote: |
Oh, wow! That's the last place I'd want to be! Only basing my comment on what was being reported yesterday. The price of oil already jumped based on expectation of evacuation of the rigs. Guess any excuse to increase price is good, however, not blame speculation.
This looks like a Cat 3 expected with likely landfall on LA/TX border. Of course, all is subject to change in an instant.
http://weather.myfoxtampabay.com/maps/WTVT/custom/storms/gustav_track.html |
That is what is beginning to look like. I pray not though. I still have stuff I have not unpacked from Rita evacuation. Oh well...at least some of it is still packed and ready to go 
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Joined: 13 Nov 2007
Posts: 1697
Location: Texas
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| Ezgoing
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:22 am |
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I hate it when a storm/hurricane gets into the Gulf, because it has to make landfall somewhere obviously. I think it is too early to tell whether this one will veer east into Florida's west coast or continue on a course to the panhandle or hit NO or anyplace else up that way. However, it really is prudent to take steps NOW to protect oneself and possessions as much as possible. Wherever this thing goes, my prayers are with everyone and everything in its path. I certainly would hate to ride out any kind of bad weather on an oil rig. Very dangerous job.
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Joined: 06 Mar 2007
Posts: 746
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| Need2Know
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:47 am |
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| Fishy wrote: |
That is what is beginning to look like. I pray not though. I still have stuff I have not unpacked from Rita evacuation. Oh well...at least some of it is still packed and ready to go |
For everyone on this board or their friends and loved ones in this path, please heed the warning and stay safe.
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N2K
Joined: 06 Jul 2006
Posts: 9292
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| Eliza
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 12:18 pm |
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Joined: 21 Feb 2008
Posts: 1397
Location: Deep in the hills with my Bible, rifle, and pony.
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| pax
Posted:
Wed Aug 27, 2008 1:20 pm |
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Take care folks, and stay safe.
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Joined: 23 Mar 2006
Posts: 16336
Location: Wish You Were Here
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